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With affordability at its lowest level on record, first-home buyers have to think outside the square.
The home-ownership dream rarely used to feature a sibling in your bathtub and a parent on your certificate of title. But these days, first-home buyers are prepared to be flexible.
Housing affordability fell to record lows in the March quarter this year according to the latest Housing Industry Association-Commonwealth Bank report. Mortgage payments now account for 30.7 per cent of total first-home buyer income!
Generations X and Y are also settling down later meaning for many home ownership is a solo battle.
It’s not surprising then that increasing numbers of first-home buyers are teaming up with siblings, parents or friends in a bid to break into the property market.
“There has been a noticeable trend towards family members buying property together, as property prices are still very high, particularly for first-home buyers,” says Aussie Home Loans boss John Symond.
The number of family members taking out mortgages together has jumped from about 1% of all loans originated by ‘Aussie’ to 5 per cent over the past two years! Mortgage Choice has reported a similar trend. A survey carried out by the company last year revealed more than 6 per cent of people who bought property within the past two years had done so with family or friends. And of those who intended to buy property within the next two years, more than 8 per cent intended to do so with family or friends!
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CASHED-UP Melburnians keen to snatch beachfront holiday homes from struggling vendors may be in for a big disappointment.
Plunging average prices for regional seaside homes don’t tell the full story.
Valuer-General Victoria sales figures released this month by Land Victoria show median house prices rose in a third of seaside towns!
From the end of 2007 to the end of last year, prices fell in 16 of 30 coastal towns and stayed level in four others!
Hardest hit is Port Fairy with a 34.6 per cent drop from $390,000 in late 2007 to $255,000 at the end of last year. Average house prices also fell dramatically in Blairgowrie, Barwon Heads, Portarlington and Rosebud West.
Anne Murphy of Stockdale & Leggo says Port Fairy sales results during the summer were the best in the eight years she’s been there, saying the big drop in the median house price for Port Fairy is not because property values have fallen. Instead, figures have been skewed by tightly held, top-end properties being kept off the market.
“We’ve been recommending they delay selling because demand isn’t strong.”
People have owned houses here for 30 to 50 years. They’re kept in the family and passed down. Unless unforeseen circumstances such as a divorce occur, why sell in this market if you don’t have to?”
But Murphy says those Port Fairy vendors who are on the market are more realistic than in previous years.
“We’re not expecting a good summer season with the economy the way it is, but we’ve had extremely good results in the number of sales and most sales were within 10 per cent of asking prices.”
“In the past 18 months in our office, there has been only one sale of a property that sold for less than the vendor paid for it!”
“Most properties here are about $450,000. You won’t get much for your money under $400,000.”
That hasn’t stopped holiday-home hunters prowling Port Fairy.
“We’ve had people come in looking for that bargain,” “I don’t have any bargains but there are realistically priced properties and motivated vendors who will negotiate.”
A historic fishing port that is now a popular holiday and retirement town famed for its annual folk festival, Port Fairy is about 290km west of Melbourne.
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What will happen if rates go up? In today’s low-interest-rate environment one of the common questions property investors ask is, “What happens if we buy now and interest rates skyrocket, like back in the 1980’s?”
An understandable concern and today’s historically low interest rates can’t be sustained forever because at some point the economy will begin recovering, inflation will grow and rates will rise!
That’s part and parcel of the economy’s cyclical nature.
When rates do rise it’s doubtful they’ll hit the dizzying heights of the late 1980s. The major lenders certainly don’t think so; they’re setting their 10year fixed rates about 7per cent.
With vast resources and access to the world’s top economic minds, it’s highly unlikely that major lenders will make the wrong call about the future direction of interest rates.
But for argument’s sake that they do and rates climb back to the heady levels of 20 years ago.
If interest rates go up that far it’s a sign that business and consumer confidence is high. When rates go up so does inflation. And when inflation rises, so do property values. Yes, your holding costs will be higher because of higher interest rates but as an investor you will benefit on three fronts.
High rental returns
First-home buyers won’t be active because property is less affordable in a high-interest-rate environment. This will keep them in the rental market, put pressure on the available rental accommodation and drive up asking rents. The higher the interest rates, the higher the investment yield.
Negative gearing benefits
If your expenditure on the property exceeds your rental income, you’ll be able to soften the impact and increase your cash flow by claiming the difference as a tax deduction.
Substantial sale proceeds
If you can’t afford to hold the property you can sell it. While this isn’t an ideal scenario, your property will have grown substantially in value during the time of high inflation so you’ll be better off than when you purchased it and that is the aim of investing!
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MELBOURNE’s auction market had its highest clearance rate over the weekend since the end of the property boom in December 2007.
Of the 452 properties up for auction, 83 per cent sold and 77 properties were passed in!
But the number of properties for auction was 126 fewer than at the same time last year!
The CEO of Real Estate Institute of Victoria attributed the high clearance rate to the extension of the first-home buyer’s grant which was announced in last week’s federal Budget, combined with low interest rates and an increase in investor numbers.
“It’s off a low base. There were not a lot of auctions,” Mr Raimondo said.
“The part of the market which is performing really well is priced at or below the medium of about $410,000.
“In the last 12 months that’s stayed very stable.”
Mr Raimondo expects the strong clearance rate to continue.
“The next two weeks we expect to see just under 1300 auctions, which is a very high number of auctions at this time of the year.
“I expect the clearance rate to remain high until the 30th of September (when the full first-home owner’s boost will be phased out).”
Flat and apartment clearances were also strong: 90 per cent of 136 properties at auction sold.
The latest residential land report from the Housing Industry Association revealed Melbourne’s median land price grew 0.7 per cent in the December quarter to a record $152,000.
The HIA-RP Data residential land report showed the price of land in Melbourne was up 4.8 per cent over the year.
The median land price in regional Victoria fell 2.8 per cent in the December quarter to $97,250, the lowest price since mid-2007.
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MELBOURNE’s auction market had its highest clearance rate on the weekend since the end of the property boom in December 2007.
Of the 452 properties up for auction, 83 per cent sold and 77 properties were passed in!
But the number of properties for auction was 126 fewer than at the same time last year!
The CEO of Real Estate Institute of Victoria attributed the high clearance rate to the extension of the first-home buyers grant which was announced in last week’s federal Budget, combined with low interest rates and an increase in investor numbers.
“It is off a low base. There were not a lot of auctions,” Mr Raimondo said.
“The part of the market which is performing really well is priced at or below the medium of about $410,000.
“In the last 12 months that has stayed very stable.”
Mr Raimondo expects the strong clearance rate to continue.
“The next two weeks we expect to see just under 1300 auctions, which is a very high number of auctions at this time of the year.
“I expect the clearance rate to remain high until the 30th of September (when the full first-home owner’s boost will be phased out).”
Flat and apartment clearances were also strong: 90 per cent of 136 properties at auction sold.
The latest residential land report from the Housing Industry Association revealed Melbourne’s median land price grew 0.7 per cent in the December quarter to a record $152,000.
The HIA-RP Data residential land report showed the price of land in Melbourne was up 4.8 per cent over the year.
The median land price in regional Victoria fell 2.8 per cent in the December quarter to $97,250, the lowest price since mid-2007.
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The value of commercial building permits in Victoria increased in the March quarter, despite there being a fall in the state’s building industry overall.
Building Commissioner Tony Arnel says that when compared to the same period in 2008, the value of building permits in the state has decreased by 11 per cent to reach below $4.2 billion!
Looking at the data for building use, commercial building permits is the only building use category to increase, up eight per cent to $793 million!
Hospital and healthcare recorded the biggest fall in the quarter dropping 55%, industrial fell by 46%, public buildings by 4%, retail by nearly 27%, residential by 17% and domestic by 3%!
According to Mr. Arnel, North Central is the only Victorian region that experienced an increase in the value of permits issued.
It had nearly a 23 per cent increase when compared to the same period in 2008.
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Melbourne’s outer suburb vacancy rates have improved from 0.7 per cent to 1.8 per cent in the past six months, according to the Real Estate Institute of Victoria’s April vacancy rates.
The vacancy rate across Melbourne is reasonably steady having been between one and 1.4 per cent for 12 months. However it‘s significant that there’s a recorded improvement in the outer suburbs.
The improvement could be due to the number of first homebuyers that are moving from their rented accommodation into their own home with the assistance of the grants, bonus and boosts.
The March quarter median prices showed that most of the activity in the marketplace has been in the outer suburbs; for instance Craigieburn, Melton South, Hillside, Epping, Caroline Springs, Werribee and Meadow Heights – all outer suburbs of Melbourne popular with first homebuyers.
It‘s great news for renters if a by-product of the grants, bonus and boosts is an improvement in the availability of rental accommodation, however monitoring of the situation over the next few months to will tell of continual improvement..
We would consider that the rental market would be in balance once we reach a Melbourne-wide vacancy rate of three per cent.
In the last month the figures from our REIV members have shown a very minor change in the inner suburbs where the vacancy rate moved from 1.5 to 1.3 per cent and in the middle suburbs where it moved from 1.4 to 1.3 per cent.
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The rich list has been announced and the top performers for both houses and units were areas of NSW.
RP Data released its top price growth suburbs, recording the greatest increase in median house and unit prices during the 12 months to December 2008.
North Sydney suburbs were the standout performers for both houses and units with median house prices appreciating 47.4 per cent in McMahons Point and unit prices growing 49.8 per cent in Greenwich.
The NSW list comprised mainly areas outside of Sydney and includes Dubbo, Jindabyne, Queanbeyan East and Brunswick Heads.
Victoria was a different story with only one area outside of the metro area making the list. Irymple in Mildura was the regional victor experiencing a median unit price increase of 35.3 per cent.
The Victorian results mainly comprise of areas in the Melbourne Statistical Division with both the top performers – Portsea’s median house price increase was 38.6 per cent to $1,455,000 and Dallas’ median unit priced leaped to $222,500, an increase of 48.3 per cent.
The QLD market showed many areas outside of the Brisbane area as strong performers in capital growth.
The state’s top performers are houses in River Heads at Hervey Bay with prices increasing 43.1 per cent and units in North Lakes increasing by 47.3 per cent.
South Australia’s winners are dominated by areas of Adelaide with only Port Hughes, Roseworthy and Owen outside of the capital city location.
The standout performers for houses is Teringie (49.5 per cent) and for units Underdale (47.8 per cent).
The strong growth results centred around Adelaide aren’t a surprise given that it remains mainland Australia’s most affordable capital city market and has been an excellent performer throughout 2008.
Perth dominates the WA list. Which is surprising given the poor performance overall of the Perth market during the last 12 to 18 months.
Homes in Coolbinia are a standout, with a median price increase of 43.1 per cent. Units, the port side suburb of South Hedland saw the greatest increase jumping 44.4 per cent to $455,000.
Outside Perth, the list is exclusively populated by areas linked to the mining and resources sector.
For Tasmania, the top performer for houses is Campania, recording a 46.3 per cent, and units saw Hobart taking top spot with 35.7 per cent!
Northern Territory winners are almost entirely located within Darwin, with Virginia recording the strongest growth in houses (30.9 per cent) and The Gardens topping the list in units (39.0 per cent).
Throughout the ACT, the strongest performing suburbs are within close proximity to the city centre – Franklin’s houses recorded a 25.6 per cent increase and Campbell’s units 49.7 per cent!
Victoria
Houses
|
Suburb
|
Number sold
|
Median price
|
12-month growth
|
|
Portsea,
|
35
|
$1,455,000
|
38.6%
|
|
St Andrews
|
11
|
$500,000
|
34.7%
|
|
Echuca South
|
17
|
$410,000
|
34.0%
|
|
Eaglemont
|
25
|
$1,205,000
|
30.6%
|
|
St Andrews Beach
|
12
|
$520,500
|
29.5%
|
Units
|
Suburb
|
Number sold
|
Median price
|
12-month growth
|
|
Dallas
|
10
|
$222,500
|
48.3%
|
|
Caulfield East
|
12
|
$352,500
|
39.9%
|
|
Mount Evelyn
|
13
|
$344,000
|
36.9%
|
|
Irymple
|
12
|
$194,500
|
35.3%
|
|
Melton West
|
19
|
$238,000
|
32.6%
|