Mark Forytarz » Posts for tag 'melbourne'

When families buy together

With affordability at its lowest level on record, first-home buyers have to think outside the square.

The home-ownership dream rarely used to feature a sibling in your bathtub and a parent on your certificate of title. But these days, first-home buyers are prepared to be flexible.

Housing affordability fell to record lows in the March quarter this year according to the latest Housing Industry Association-Commonwealth Bank report.                Mortgage payments now account for 30.7 per cent of total first-home buyer income!

Generations X and Y are also settling down later meaning for many home ownership is a solo battle.

It’s not surprising then that increasing numbers of first-home buyers are teaming up with siblings, parents or friends in a bid to break into the property market.

“There has been a noticeable trend towards family members buying property together, as property prices are still very high, particularly for first-home buyers,” says Aussie Home Loans boss John Symond.

The number of family members taking out mortgages together has jumped from about 1% of all loans originated by ‘Aussie’ to 5 per cent over the past two years!   Mortgage Choice has reported a similar trend. A survey carried out by the company last year revealed more than 6 per cent of people who bought property within the past two years had done so with family or friends. And of those who intended to buy property within the next two years, more than 8 per cent intended to do so with family or friends!

Beach bargains just a fairy story

CASHED-UP Melburnians keen to snatch beachfront holiday homes from struggling vendors may be in for a big disappointment.

Plunging average prices for regional seaside homes don’t tell the full story.

Valuer-General Victoria sales figures released this month by Land Victoria show median house prices rose in a third of seaside towns!

From the end of 2007 to the end of last year, prices fell in 16 of 30 coastal towns and stayed level in four others!

Hardest hit is Port Fairy with a 34.6 per cent drop from $390,000 in late 2007 to $255,000 at the end of last year. Average house prices also fell dramatically in Blairgowrie, Barwon Heads, Portarlington and Rosebud West.

Anne Murphy of Stockdale & Leggo says Port Fairy sales results during the summer were the best in the eight years she’s been there, saying the big drop in the median house price for Port Fairy is not because property values have fallen. Instead, figures have been skewed by tightly held, top-end properties being kept off the market.

“We’ve been recommending they delay selling because demand isn’t strong.”

People have owned houses here for 30 to 50 years. They’re kept in the family and passed down. Unless unforeseen circumstances such as a divorce occur, why sell in this market if you don’t have to?”

But Murphy says those Port Fairy vendors who are on the market are more realistic than in previous years.

“We’re not expecting a good summer season with the economy the way it is, but we’ve had extremely good results in the number of sales and most sales were within 10 per cent of asking prices.”

“In the past 18 months in our office, there has been only one sale of a property that sold for less than the vendor paid for it!”

“Most properties here are about $450,000. You won’t get much for your money under $400,000.”

That hasn’t stopped holiday-home hunters prowling Port Fairy.

“We’ve had people come in looking for that bargain,” “I don’t have any bargains but there are realistically priced properties and motivated vendors who will negotiate.”

A historic fishing port that is now a popular holiday and retirement town famed for its annual folk festival, Port Fairy is about 290km west of Melbourne.

High interest rates benefit investors

What will happen if rates go up? In today’s low-interest-rate environment one of the common questions property investors ask is, “What happens if we buy now and interest rates skyrocket, like back in the 1980’s?”

An understandable concern and today’s historically low interest rates can’t be sustained forever because at some point the economy will begin recovering, inflation will grow and rates will rise!

That’s part and parcel of the economy’s cyclical nature.

When rates do rise it’s doubtful they’ll hit the dizzying heights of the late 1980s. The major lenders certainly don’t think so; they’re setting their 10year fixed rates about 7per cent.

With vast resources and access to the world’s top economic minds, it’s highly unlikely that major lenders will make the wrong call about the future direction of interest rates.

But for argument’s sake that they do and rates climb back to the heady levels of 20 years ago.

If interest rates go up that far it’s a sign that business and consumer confidence is high. When rates go up so does inflation. And when inflation rises, so do property values. Yes, your holding costs will be higher because of higher interest rates but as an investor you will benefit on three fronts.

High rental returns

First-home buyers won’t be active because property is less affordable in a high-interest-rate environment. This will keep them in the rental market, put pressure on the available rental accommodation and drive up asking rents. The higher the interest rates, the higher the investment yield.

Negative gearing benefits

If your expenditure on the property exceeds your rental income, you’ll be able to soften the impact and increase your cash flow by claiming the difference as a tax deduction.

Substantial sale proceeds

If you can’t afford to hold the property you can sell it. While this isn’t an ideal scenario, your property will have grown substantially in value during the time of high inflation so you’ll be better off than when you purchased it and that is the aim of investing!

Melbourne auction market clearance rate peaks!!

MELBOURNE’s auction market had its highest clearance rate over the weekend since the end of the property boom in December 2007.

Of the 452 properties up for auction, 83 per cent sold and 77 properties were passed in!

But the number of properties for auction was 126 fewer than at the same time last year!

 

The CEO of Real Estate Institute of Victoria attributed the high clearance rate to the extension of the first-home buyer’s grant which was announced in last week’s federal Budget, combined with low interest rates and an increase in investor numbers.

“It’s off a low base. There were not a lot of auctions,” Mr Raimondo said.

“The part of the market which is performing really well is priced at or below the medium of about $410,000.

“In the last 12 months that’s stayed very stable.”


Mr Raimondo expects the strong clearance rate to continue.

“The next two weeks we expect to see just under 1300 auctions, which is a very high number of auctions at this time of the year.

“I expect the clearance rate to remain high until the 30th of September (when the full first-home owner’s boost will be phased out).”

Flat and apartment clearances were also strong: 90 per cent of 136 properties at auction sold.

The latest residential land report from the Housing Industry Association revealed Melbourne’s median land price grew 0.7 per cent in the December quarter to a record $152,000.

The HIA-RP Data residential land report showed the price of land in Melbourne was up 4.8 per cent over the year.

The median land price in regional Victoria fell 2.8 per cent in the December quarter to $97,250, the lowest price since mid-2007.

 

Melbourne auction market clearance rate peaks!!

MELBOURNE’s auction market had its highest clearance rate on the weekend since the end of the property boom in December 2007.

Of the 452 properties up for auction, 83 per cent sold and 77 properties were passed in!

But the number of properties for auction was 126 fewer than at the same time last year!

 

The CEO of Real Estate Institute of Victoria attributed the high clearance rate to the extension of the first-home buyers grant which was announced in last week’s federal Budget, combined with low interest rates and an increase in investor numbers.

“It is off a low base. There were not a lot of auctions,” Mr Raimondo said.

“The part of the market which is performing really well is priced at or below the medium of about $410,000.

“In the last 12 months that has stayed very stable.”


Mr Raimondo expects the strong clearance rate to continue.

“The next two weeks we expect to see just under 1300 auctions, which is a very high number of auctions at this time of the year.

“I expect the clearance rate to remain high until the 30th of September (when the full first-home owner’s boost will be phased out).”

Flat and apartment clearances were also strong: 90 per cent of 136 properties at auction sold.

The latest residential land report from the Housing Industry Association revealed Melbourne’s median land price grew 0.7 per cent in the December quarter to a record $152,000.

The HIA-RP Data residential land report showed the price of land in Melbourne was up 4.8 per cent over the year.

The median land price in regional Victoria fell 2.8 per cent in the December quarter to $97,250, the lowest price since mid-2007.

 

First homebuyers improve rental vacancy

Melbourne’s outer suburb vacancy rates have improved from 0.7 per cent to 1.8 per cent in the past six months, according to the Real Estate Institute of Victoria’s April vacancy rates.

The vacancy rate across Melbourne is reasonably steady having been between one and 1.4 per cent for 12 months.  However it‘s significant that there’s a recorded improvement in the outer suburbs.

The improvement could be due to the number of first homebuyers that are moving from their rented accommodation into their own home with the assistance of the grants, bonus and boosts.

The March quarter median prices showed that most of the activity in the marketplace has been in the outer suburbs; for instance Craigieburn, Melton South, Hillside, Epping, Caroline Springs, Werribee and Meadow Heights – all outer suburbs of Melbourne popular with first homebuyers.

It‘s great news for renters if a by-product of the grants, bonus and boosts is an improvement in the availability of rental accommodation, however monitoring of the situation over the next few months to will tell of continual improvement..

We would consider that the rental market would be in balance once we reach a Melbourne-wide vacancy rate of three per cent.

In the last month the figures from our REIV members have shown a very minor change in the inner suburbs where the vacancy rate moved from 1.5 to 1.3 per cent and in the middle suburbs where it moved from 1.4 to 1.3 per cent.

Cheap inner-city living – get your slice today!

So it’s well known, buying properties within 10km of capital cities is generally a good investment, but where ARE the most affordable areas?

 

There’s some suburbs within 5km of capital city centres where the median unit price is $200,000 and the gross rental yield 5.33%?

You really don’t have to buy far from the city centre to pick up a bargain!

And it’s not a bad strategy for identifying best value properties to find ones located in affordable suburbs within a 10 kay radius of the city.

For some cities, this inner circle can be more or less, depending on the size of the city, however, generally it’s a good rule of thumb because it is these areas that are more than likely well serviced by transport, have social and retail amenities near by and benefit from strong rental demand.

Identified below are the five most affordable suburbs for houses and units within a 5km radius of Melbourne City.

Melbourne - houses

 Suburb

 Council area

 Number of sales

 Median price

 Annual change
over 10 years

 Median weekly rent

 Gross rental yield

 Braybrook

 Maribyrnong

 73

 $345,200

 15.45%

 $250

 3.77%

 Maidstone

 Maribyrnong

 114

 $435,000

 14.24%

 $300

 3.59%

 West Footscray

 Maribyrnong

 138

 $447,000

 13.62%

 $320

 3.72%

 Kingsville

 Maribyrnong

 26

 $451,000

 11.77%

 $330

 3.80%

 Footscray

 Maribyrnong

 168

 $453,750

 13.06%

 $320

 3.67%

Melbourne - units

 Suburb

 Council area

 Number of sale 

 Median price

 Annual change over 10 years

 Median weekly rent

 Gross rental yield

 Williamstown Nth

 Hobsons Bay

 12

 $218,500

 0.24%

 n.a.

 n.a.

 Footscray

 Maribyrnong

 155

 $240,000

 14.42%

 $270

 5.85%

 Carlton

 Melbourne

 249

 $246,000

 2.60%

 $390

 8.24%

 West Footscray

 Maribyrnong

 96

 $269,500

 15.06%

 $210

 4.05%

 Braybrook

 Maribyrnong

 28

 $275,000

 9.85%

 $310

 5.86%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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